назад Оглавление вперед


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79

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

1) 5(10(1

1)4461)

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0 4X40

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0 4761

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114522

n 4483

0 4443

0.4404

0 4364

1)4325

«4:86

0 4247

!) 421)7

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0.4129

1) 4090

0 4052

0.4013

0 3974

(1.3936

« 3897

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П ?К2 1

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1)3632

0 3.594

0 3557

0..3S20

0 -483

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1) 34(19

0.3372

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0 33(1(1

0.3364

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11.3013

Г Г1.29М

(1 2946

0.2912

0 2877

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» 2810

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0 2676

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0 2578

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0.2514

0 24,S3

(1 245 r

и 242Г>

0 23X9

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0 2327

0.2296

0.2266

(1 2236

0 2206

02177

0.2148

И 7Л 14

1) 21190

(1.2061

(1 2033

0 20(15

0 1977

(1.1949

0 1922

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0.1446

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0 1401

0 1379

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0 1292

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0 12311

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0 11711

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0.11193

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0.11156

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0 l(K)3

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0 0901

0.0885

0 0869

0 0853

0 11838

0 0X23

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0 1)793

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0.11749

0 0735

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0 0708

0 (1694

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0.06.5.

0 0643

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0 1)505

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0 048.5

0 0475

(1 0465

U.0455

I) 04J6

1) «436

0 «427

0.(1418

0.0409

0.0401

0.0392

0 0384

0 0375

0 ()3(>7

(I.IIJ5V

0.035 (

0.0344

0.0336

0.0329

0.(1322

0.0314

0.0307

0 0301

().(I244

ОГ)21!7

0 0281

0.0274

ori26)i

0 0262

0.1)256

0 Oiir)

0.0244

0 «2?9

1)0233

()(>127S

0.02222

0 02169

WI2M1*

0.02068

0 02018

(1 01970

0.01923

0 01X76

»ткз1

001743

OOI/DU

0 01659

0.01618

0 01578

0 III539

(I.015(i0

0.01463

001426

()1>139()

0 01355

0.01321

«01287

0 01253

0 01222

0.01191

0 01160

0 01130

0.01101

(1 (H(I72

UIIIU44

II.IIIUI7

0.00990

0 00964

0.00939

0 1)0914

0110889

0.00866

0 00842

12.4

0 (1(К21

II 0079X

0 1)1)776

0 0(17.55

0.00734

О (10714

0.(10695

000676

0 00657

0.(10639

(1 ГИ№21

0 0061)4

0<)()5S7

0.(10570

0 00554

0.0(1539

1) 1)0523

(111(1508

0 00494

0 11048(1

0 (10466

0 «0453

0 00440

0 00427

0 0IJ4I5

0.00402

0.00391

0.()037«

0 00368

000357

0 01)347

II.IKI336

0 00326

().()(I3I7

0 00307

0.00798

0 IIII289

0.1)0280

0 00272

0.00264

0 (И1256

0 0()24((

U.0024U

0.0(1233

0 00226

0 00219

0 00212

0 002(15

0 01)199

0 00193

(l.0(HS7

0(H)I«1

0.00175

O.0IH69

0.011)64

0 00159

0.00154

0 00149

0 00144

0(10139

Статистическая таблица «Стандартное норма.11ьное распределение»

Пример.

Если Z = 1.96 , то вероятность попадания искомой величины х в зону от 2 до бесконечности составляет 0.0250 или 2.50%.



Среднее изменение DJI

Стан-дяртнос отклонение

Верхняя граница (1 СКО)

Сглаженное значение верхней границы (1 СКО)

Верхняя граница (2 СКО)

Сг.ча-женное значение вер-кней гранииы (2 СКО)

Верхняя граница (3 СКО)

Сглаженное значение верхней границы (3 СКО)

jr S

X i3s

л- 1

Фактическая вероятность

0.90

0.94

0.97

0.78%

1.07%

1.84%

1.70%

2.91%

2.60%

3.97%

3.50%

0.*»%

1 28%

2.22%

1.69%

3.50%

2.59%

4.77%

3 48%

0.81%

1.08%

1.89Ч(

1.69%

2.96%

2,58%

4.W%

3 48%

0.77%

0.85%

1.62%

1.69%

2.47%

2.58%

3.32%

347%

0.73%

0.79%

1.52%

1.69%

2.32%

2,57%

3.11%

3.46%

«

0.74%

0.82%

1.56%

1.68%

2.38%

2.57%

3.20%

3.46%

0.72%

0.82%

1.55%

1.68%

2.37%

2.56%

3.19%

3.44%

0.71%

0.80%

1.61%

1.68%

2.31%

2 56%

3.11%

3.44%

0.89%

1.44%

2 33%

1.67%

3.78%

2.56%

5.22%

3.43%

«

0.81%

0.96%

1.78%

1.67%

2.74%

2.S.5V

3.71%

3.42%

0.72%

0.70%

142%

1.67%

2.12%

2.54%

2.81%

3.41%

0.86%

1.01%

1 90%

1.67%

2.91%

2.54%

3.53

3.40%

0.89%

1.14%

2.03%

1.66%

3.17%

2.53%

4.31%

3.40%

0.80%

t.23%

2С14%

1.66%

3.27%

2.53%

4.60%

3.39%

0.73%

0.73%

1.46%

1.66%

2.19%

2.52%

2.93%

3.38%

0.74%

0.82%

1.56%

1.65%

2.37%

2.52%

3.18%

3.37i

0.75%

0.85%

1.59%

1.65%

2.44%

2,51%

3.28%

3.36%

0.67%

069%

1.36%

1.65%

2.05%

2.51%

2.73%

3.36%

0.73%

0.68%

1.41%

1.65%

2.09%

2.50%

2.77%

3.35%

0.85%

0.94%

1.79%

1.64%

2.72%

2.50%

3.66%

3.34%

0.71%

0.75%

1.46%

1.64%

2.22%

2.49%

2.97%

3.33%

0.72%

0.64%

1.36%

1,64%

2.00%

2.49%

2.64%

3.32%

0.66%

0.72%

1.38%

1.63%

2.10%

2.48%

2.82%!

3.31%

0.72%

0.76%

1.49%

1.63%

2,26%

2.48%

3,01%

3.31%

0.74%

0.92%

1.66%

1.63%

2.58%

2.47%

3.49%

3.30%

0.74%

0.70%

144%

1.63%

2,15%

2.47%,

2,85%

3.29%

0.88¥J

1С17%

1.95%

1.62%

3.02%

2.46%

4.09%

3.28%

0.86%

0.94%

1.79*

.62%,

2.73%

2.46%

3.67%

327%

0.75%

0.79%

1.62%

2.34%J

2.45

3.13%

3.27%

0.77%

0.79%

1.56%

1.61%

2.35%

2.44%

3.15%

3.26%

о.во;.

0.78%

1.58%

1.61,

2.36%

2.44%

3.15%

3.25%

0.76%<

0.67%

1.43%

1.61%

2.10%

2.43%

2.77%

3.24%

0.77%

0.77%

1.54%

1.61"S

2 31%

2.43%

3.08%

3.23%

0.81%

0.88%

1.09%

1.60%

2.57%

2.42%

3.45%

3.23%

Статистическая таблица «Фактические и сглаженные величины верхних границ изменчивости фондового индекса DJI для соответствующих значений солнечной

активности»



0 72%

069%

1.40%

1.60%

2,09%

2.42%

2 78%

322%

0.71%

0.72%

1.44%

1.60%

2,16%

2,41%

2,68%

3.21%

0.70%

0.75%

1.44%

1.59%

2.18%

241%

2.94%

3.20%

0.79%

0.81%

1.80%

1 69%

242%

2 40%

3.23%

3.19%

0.67%

0.85%

1.32%

1.59%

1.97%J

2.40%

2.62%

319"»

0.66%

0.78%

1.44%

1.69%

2.22%

2.38%

2.98%

3.18%

0.86%

0.77%

1.63%

1.58%

2,40%

2.39%

3.17%

3.17%

0.75%

0 87%

1.62%

1.58%

2.49%

2-38%

3.37%

316%

«9

D.61%

060%

1.21%

1.58%

1.81%

2.38%

2.40%

315%

0.73%

0.72%

1.45%

157%

2.16%

2 37%

2.68%

3.15%

0.73

0.65%

1.38%

1.57%

2,03%

2.37%

2.68%

3.14%

0.72%

0.63%

1.35%

1.57%

1,98%

2.36%

2.62%

3.13%

0.63%

0 53%

1.16%

1.56%

158%

2 36%

2.21%

312%

0.71%

065%

1.38%

1.56%

2,02%

2-35%

2.67%

3.11%

0.70%

0.68%

1.38%

1-56%

2.07%

2.35%

2.75%

3-11%

0 72%

0.78%

1,50%

1.56%

2,27%

2-34%

305%

310%

«7

1-38%

2.30%

1.56%

368%

2.34%

505%

3.09%

0.72%

0.66%

1.37%

1.65%

2,03%

2.33%

2.69%

3.08%

D.79%

0.81%

1.60%

1.55%

2.42%

2.33%

3.23%

3-07%

0.64%

0.72%

1.36%

1.54%

2Л8%

2 32%

2.80%

3-07%

0.79%

103%

1.83%

154%

2Л6%

232%

3.89%

3-08%

«2

0.76%

086%

1.62%

1.54%

2.48%

231%

3.34%

3 05%

D.73%

0.69%

1.43%

1.54%

2,12%

2 31%

2.82%

3-0«%

D.70%

0.63%

1.33%

153%

1,96%

2 30%i

2.59%

3-03%

«5

0.65%

067%

1.32%

1.53%

1 99%

2-29%

2.67%

3 03%

0.70%

0.63%

1.33%

1.53%

1,98%

2-29%

2.60%

3-02%

«7

0.72%

0.63%

1.35%

1.52%

1,98%

2-28%

2.61%.

3-01%

0.76*

0.80%

1.54%

1.52%

2,34%

2.28%

3.14%

300%

071%

075%

1.46%

1.52%

2,20%

2.27%

2.95%

2 99%

0.76%

0.83%

1,60%

152%

2,43%

2-27%

3.26%

2-99%

094%

1.30%

2 24%

161%

3,54%

2Z6%

4 84%

298%

0.65%

0 56%

121%

1.51%

1,77%

2-26%

2.34%

2 97%

0.73%

0.69%

1,42%

1.51%

2,11%

2-25%

2.80%

2-96%

0.69%

0.74%

1.43%

1.50%

2.16%

2.25%

2.90%

2-95%

0 72%

077%

1,49%

1-50%

2.26%

2-24%

3.03%

2-94%

0.92%

1.34%

2,26%

1.60%

3.60%

2.24%

4.93%

2-94%

0.77%

0.82%

1.89%

1.50%

2.41%

2 23%

3.23%

2-93%

0.71%

0.52%

123%

149%

1 75%

2-23%.

228%

2 92%

0.72%

0 73%

14в«

1.49«,

2.19%

2-22%,

2.92%

2914(

0.71%

0.68%

1.39%

1-49%

2.07%

2.22%

2.75%

2-90%

0.61%

0.57%

1 18%

1.48%

1.74%

2.21%

2.31%

2.90%

0.94%

2.26%

3.21%

1-48%

5.47%

2-21%

7.73%

2 89%

0.82%

0.78%

1.59%

148%

2.37%

2-20%

3.15%

288%

0.68%

0.85%

1.53%

1 48%

2.38%

2 20%

3 22%

2-87%

0.75%

0.83%

1.58%

1-47%

2.41%

219%

3.26%

2-86%

0.73%

0.71%

1.44!*

147%

2.14%

219%

2 85%

2-86%

0.73%

072%

146%

147%

2.17%

218%

2.90%

2.85%

0.75%

0 76%

1 >l««

1 46%

2.26%

218%

3.02%

2 84%

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