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назад Оглавление вперед
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79 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.09 | | 1) 5(10(1 | 1)4461) | «.4<>20 | 0.4XSI) | 0 4X40 | 1) 4801 | 0 4761 | 0 472! | 0 4681 | 0-1641 | | (1 AiMl | «.4i(.2 | 114522 | n 4483 | 0 4443 | 0.4404 | 0 4364 | 1)4325 | «4:86 | 0 4247 | | !) 421)7 | (I4I6X | 0.4129 | 1) 4090 | 0 4052 | 0.4013 | 0 3974 | (1.3936 | « 3897 | 0 38.i9 | | П ?К2 1 | 1) 37X3 | Л 3745 | 0 3707 | n.3(.6« | 1)3632 | 0 3.594 | 0 3557 | 0..3S20 | 0 -483 | | Г) 3446 | 1) 34(19 | 0.3372 | О.ЗЗЗо | 0 33(1(1 | 0.3364 | (1.3228 | 0 3192 | 0.3156 | 03121 | | 1) ът> | (1 3(150 | 11.3013 | Г Г1.29М | (1 2946 | 0.2912 | 0 2877 | 0 2843 | » 2810 | 11.2776 | | II 27.13 | Г) 27rw | 0 2676 | 0.2643 | II 261 1 | 0 2578 | I) 2546 | 0.2514 | 0 24,S3 | (1 245 r | | и 242Г> | 0 23X9 | (1.235» | 0 2327 | 0.2296 | 0.2266 | (1 2236 | 0 2206 | 02177 | 0.2148 | | И 7Л 14 | 1) 21190 | (1.2061 | (1 2033 | 0 20(15 | 0 1977 | (1.1949 | 0 1922 | (1 1894 | 01867 | 10.9 | ГР 1К41 | ».ltil4 | O.lTKli | I) 1762 | 0 1736 | 0 1711 | 0.1 (>85 | (1 КЛО | U 1635 | 0.1611 | | 0 !.5»7 | 0.1562 | 0.1.34 | 0 1513 | 0 1492 | » 1469 | 0.1446 | (j.1423 | 0 1401 | 0 1379 | | О n.i7 | и 1335 | II 1314 | 0 1292 | 0 1271 | l).!2M | 0 12311 | 0.1210 | OIIIO | 0 11711 | | (1 ll.il | II 1131 | 0 1 112 | 0.11193 | 0 1075 | 0.11156 | 0 1038 | 0 1021) | 0 l(K)3 | 0 0985 | | | 0I)«5! | ri 0934 | «(19IX | 0 0901 | 0.0885 | 0 0869 | 0 0853 | 0 11838 | 0 0X23 | | (1IIXUN | 0 1)793 | 0 II77K | (111764 | 0.11749 | 0 0735 | 0II72I | 0 0708 | 0 (1694 | 0II6HI | | «>т* | 0.06.5. | 0 0643 | 0.(1630 | O06I8 | II11606 | (1 (1594 | 0 0582 | (1.057! | 0.0554 | | | 10.37 | (1.0526 | 0.1)516 | 0 1)505 | l».()-195 | 0 048.5 | 0 0475 | (1 0465 | U.0455 | | I) 04J6 | 1) «436 | 0 «427 | 0.(1418 | 0.0409 | 0.0401 | 0.0392 | 0 0384 | 0 0375 | 0 ()3(>7 | | (I.IIJ5V | 0.035 ( | 0.0344 | 0.0336 | 0.0329 | 0.(1322 | 0.0314 | 0.0307 | 0 0301 | ().(I244 | | ОГ)21!7 | 0 0281 | 0.0274 | ori26)i | 0 0262 | 0.1)256 | 0 Oiir) | 0.0244 | 0 «2?9 | 1)0233 | | ()(>127S | 0.02222 | 0 02169 | WI2M1* | 0.02068 | 0 02018 | (1 01970 | 0.01923 | 0 01X76 | »ткз1 | | | 001743 | OOI/DU | 0 01659 | 0.01618 | 0 01578 | 0 III539 | (I.015(i0 | 0.01463 | 001426 | | ()1>139() | 0 01355 | 0.01321 | «01287 | 0 01253 | 0 01222 | 0.01191 | 0 01160 | 0 01130 | 0.01101 | | (1 (H(I72 | UIIIU44 | II.IIIUI7 | 0.00990 | 0 00964 | 0.00939 | 0 1)0914 | 0110889 | 0.00866 | 0 00842 | 12.4 | 0 (1(К21 | II 0079X | 0 1)1)776 | 0 0(17.55 | 0.00734 | О (10714 | 0.(10695 | 000676 | 0 00657 | 0.(10639 | | (1 ГИ№21 | 0 0061)4 | 0<)()5S7 | 0.(10570 | 0 00554 | 0.0(1539 | 1) 1)0523 | (111(1508 | 0 00494 | 0 11048(1 | | 0 (10466 | 0 «0453 | 0 00440 | 0 00427 | 0 0IJ4I5 | 0.00402 | 0.00391 | 0.()037« | 0 00368 | 000357 | | 0 01)347 | II.IKI336 | 0 00326 | ().()(I3I7 | 0 00307 | 0.00798 | 0 IIII289 | 0.1)0280 | 0 00272 | 0.00264 | | 0 (И1256 | 0 0()24(( | U.0024U | 0.0(1233 | 0 00226 | 0 00219 | 0 00212 | 0 002(15 | 0 01)199 | 0 00193 | | (l.0(HS7 | 0(H)I«1 | 0.00175 | O.0IH69 | 0.011)64 | 0 00159 | 0.00154 | 0 00149 | 0 00144 | 0(10139 |
Статистическая таблица «Стандартное норма.11ьное распределение» Пример. Если Z = 1.96 , то вероятность попадания искомой величины х в зону от 2 до бесконечности составляет 0.0250 или 2.50%.
| Среднее изменение DJI | Стан-дяртнос отклонение | Верхняя граница (1 СКО) | Сглаженное значение верхней границы (1 СКО) | Верхняя граница (2 СКО) | Сг.ча-женное значение вер-кней гранииы (2 СКО) | Верхняя граница (3 СКО) | Сглаженное значение верхней границы (3 СКО) | | | | jr S | X i3s | л- 1 | Фактическая вероятность | 0.90 | 0.94 | 0.97 | | 0.78% | 1.07% | 1.84% | 1.70% | 2.91% | 2.60% | 3.97% | 3.50% | | 0.*»% | 1 28% | 2.22% | 1.69% | 3.50% | 2.59% | 4.77% | 3 48% | | 0.81% | 1.08% | 1.89Ч( | 1.69% | 2.96% | 2,58% | 4.W% | 3 48% | | 0.77% | 0.85% | 1.62% | 1.69% | 2.47% | 2.58% | 3.32% | 347% | | 0.73% | 0.79% | 1.52% | 1.69% | 2.32% | 2,57% | 3.11% | 3.46% | « | 0.74% | 0.82% | 1.56% | 1.68% | 2.38% | 2.57% | 3.20% | 3.46% | | 0.72% | 0.82% | 1.55% | 1.68% | 2.37% | 2.56% | 3.19% | 3.44% | | 0.71% | 0.80% | 1.61% | 1.68% | 2.31% | 2 56% | 3.11% | 3.44% | | 0.89% | 1.44% | 2 33% | 1.67% | 3.78% | 2.56% | 5.22% | 3.43% | « | 0.81% | 0.96% | 1.78% | 1.67% | 2.74% | 2.S.5V | 3.71% | 3.42% | | 0.72% | 0.70% | 142% | 1.67% | 2.12% | 2.54% | 2.81% | 3.41% | | 0.86% | 1.01% | 1 90% | 1.67% | 2.91% | 2.54% | 3.53 | 3.40% | | 0.89% | 1.14% | 2.03% | 1.66% | 3.17% | 2.53% | 4.31% | 3.40% | | 0.80% | t.23% | 2С14% | 1.66% | 3.27% | 2.53% | 4.60% | 3.39% | | 0.73% | 0.73% | 1.46% | 1.66% | 2.19% | 2.52% | 2.93% | 3.38% | | 0.74% | 0.82% | 1.56% | 1.65% | 2.37% | 2.52% | 3.18% | 3.37i | | 0.75% | 0.85% | 1.59% | 1.65% | 2.44% | 2,51% | 3.28% | 3.36% | | 0.67% | 069% | 1.36% | 1.65% | 2.05% | 2.51% | 2.73% | 3.36% | | 0.73% | 0.68% | 1.41% | 1.65% | 2.09% | 2.50% | 2.77% | 3.35% | | 0.85% | 0.94% | 1.79% | 1.64% | 2.72% | 2.50% | 3.66% | 3.34% | | 0.71% | 0.75% | 1.46% | 1.64% | 2.22% | 2.49% | 2.97% | 3.33% | | 0.72% | 0.64% | 1.36% | 1,64% | 2.00% | 2.49% | 2.64% | 3.32% | | 0.66% | 0.72% | 1.38% | 1.63% | 2.10% | 2.48% | 2.82%! | 3.31% | | 0.72% | 0.76% | 1.49% | 1.63% | 2,26% | 2.48% | 3,01% | 3.31% | | 0.74% | 0.92% | 1.66% | 1.63% | 2.58% | 2.47% | 3.49% | 3.30% | | 0.74% | 0.70% | 144% | 1.63% | 2,15% | 2.47%, | 2,85% | 3.29% | | 0.88¥J | 1С17% | 1.95% | 1.62% | 3.02% | 2.46% | 4.09% | 3.28% | | 0.86% | 0.94% | 1.79* | .62%, | 2.73% | 2.46% | 3.67% | 327% | | 0.75% | 0.79% | | 1.62% | 2.34%J | 2.45 | 3.13% | 3.27% | | 0.77% | 0.79% | 1.56% | 1.61% | 2.35% | 2.44% | 3.15% | 3.26% | | о.во;. | 0.78% | 1.58% | 1.61, | 2.36% | 2.44% | 3.15% | 3.25% | | 0.76%< | 0.67% | 1.43% | 1.61% | 2.10% | 2.43% | 2.77% | 3.24% | | 0.77% | 0.77% | 1.54% | 1.61"S | 2 31% | 2.43% | 3.08% | 3.23% | | 0.81% | 0.88% | 1.09% | 1.60% | 2.57% | 2.42% | 3.45% | 3.23% |
Статистическая таблица «Фактические и сглаженные величины верхних границ изменчивости фондового индекса DJI для соответствующих значений солнечной активности»
| 0 72% | 069% | 1.40% | 1.60% | 2,09% | 2.42% | 2 78% | 322% | | 0.71% | 0.72% | 1.44% | 1.60% | 2,16% | 2,41% | 2,68% | 3.21% | | 0.70% | 0.75% | 1.44% | 1.59% | 2.18% | 241% | 2.94% | 3.20% | | 0.79% | 0.81% | 1.80% | 1 69% | 242% | 2 40% | 3.23% | 3.19% | | 0.67% | 0.85% | 1.32% | 1.59% | 1.97%J | 2.40% | 2.62% | 319"» | | 0.66% | 0.78% | 1.44% | 1.69% | 2.22% | 2.38% | 2.98% | 3.18% | | 0.86% | 0.77% | 1.63% | 1.58% | 2,40% | 2.39% | 3.17% | 3.17% | | 0.75% | 0 87% | 1.62% | 1.58% | 2.49% | 2-38% | 3.37% | 316% | «9 | D.61% | 060% | 1.21% | 1.58% | 1.81% | 2.38% | 2.40% | 315% | | 0.73% | 0.72% | 1.45% | 157% | 2.16% | 2 37% | 2.68% | 3.15% | | 0.73 | 0.65% | 1.38% | 1.57% | 2,03% | 2.37% | 2.68% | 3.14% | | 0.72% | 0.63% | 1.35% | 1.57% | 1,98% | 2.36% | 2.62% | 3.13% | | 0.63% | 0 53% | 1.16% | 1.56% | 158% | 2 36% | 2.21% | 312% | | 0.71% | 065% | 1.38% | 1.56% | 2,02% | 2-35% | 2.67% | 3.11% | | 0.70% | 0.68% | 1.38% | 1-56% | 2.07% | 2.35% | 2.75% | 3-11% | | 0 72% | 0.78% | 1,50% | 1.56% | 2,27% | 2-34% | 305% | 310% | «7 | | 1-38% | 2.30% | 1.56% | 368% | 2.34% | 505% | 3.09% | | 0.72% | 0.66% | 1.37% | 1.65% | 2,03% | 2.33% | 2.69% | 3.08% | | D.79% | 0.81% | 1.60% | 1.55% | 2.42% | 2.33% | 3.23% | 3-07% | | 0.64% | 0.72% | 1.36% | 1.54% | 2Л8% | 2 32% | 2.80% | 3-07% | | 0.79% | 103% | 1.83% | 154% | 2Л6% | 232% | 3.89% | 3-08% | «2 | 0.76% | 086% | 1.62% | 1.54% | 2.48% | 231% | 3.34% | 3 05% | | D.73% | 0.69% | 1.43% | 1.54% | 2,12% | 2 31% | 2.82% | 3-0«% | | D.70% | 0.63% | 1.33% | 153% | 1,96% | 2 30%i | 2.59% | 3-03% | «5 | 0.65% | 067% | 1.32% | 1.53% | 1 99% | 2-29% | 2.67% | 3 03% | S« | 0.70% | 0.63% | 1.33% | 1.53% | 1,98% | 2-29% | 2.60% | 3-02% | «7 | 0.72% | 0.63% | 1.35% | 1.52% | 1,98% | 2-28% | 2.61%. | 3-01% | | 0.76* | 0.80% | 1.54% | 1.52% | 2,34% | 2.28% | 3.14% | 300% | | 071% | 075% | 1.46% | 1.52% | 2,20% | 2.27% | 2.95% | 2 99% | | 0.76% | 0.83% | 1,60% | 152% | 2,43% | 2-27% | 3.26% | 2-99% | | 094% | 1.30% | 2 24% | 161% | 3,54% | 2Z6% | 4 84% | 298% | | 0.65% | 0 56% | 121% | 1.51% | 1,77% | 2-26% | 2.34% | 2 97% | | 0.73% | 0.69% | 1,42% | 1.51% | 2,11% | 2-25% | 2.80% | 2-96% | | 0.69% | 0.74% | 1.43% | 1.50% | 2.16% | 2.25% | 2.90% | 2-95% | | 0 72% | 077% | 1,49% | 1-50% | 2.26% | 2-24% | 3.03% | 2-94% | | 0.92% | 1.34% | 2,26% | 1.60% | 3.60% | 2.24% | 4.93% | 2-94% | | 0.77% | 0.82% | 1.89% | 1.50% | 2.41% | 2 23% | 3.23% | 2-93% | | 0.71% | 0.52% | 123% | 149% | 1 75% | 2-23%. | 228% | 2 92% | | 0.72% | 0 73% | 14в« | 1.49«, | 2.19% | 2-22%, | 2.92% | 2914( | | 0.71% | 0.68% | 1.39% | 1-49% | 2.07% | 2.22% | 2.75% | 2-90% | | 0.61% | 0.57% | 1 18% | 1.48% | 1.74% | 2.21% | 2.31% | 2.90% | | 0.94% | 2.26% | 3.21% | 1-48% | 5.47% | 2-21% | 7.73% | 2 89% | | 0.82% | 0.78% | 1.59% | 148% | 2.37% | 2-20% | 3.15% | 288% | | 0.68% | 0.85% | 1.53% | 1 48% | 2.38% | 2 20% | 3 22% | 2-87% | | 0.75% | 0.83% | 1.58% | 1-47% | 2.41% | 219% | 3.26% | 2-86% | | 0.73% | 0.71% | 1.44!* | 147% | 2.14% | 219% | 2 85% | 2-86% | | 0.73% | 072% | 146% | 147% | 2.17% | 218% | 2.90% | 2.85% | | 0.75% | 0 76% | 1 >l«« | 1 46% | 2.26% | 218% | 3.02% | 2 84% |
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